Posts

Roku: Outperform @ $128

Roku Update: Live Blog July 29, 2020 Market Price: $148 (July 28, 2020) Personal Buy Rating: -Buy Light (buy some) @ Market Price -Buy Medium (buy more) @ 20% Discount -Buy Heavy (buy many) @ 50% Discount -------------- July 14, 2020 Update: By Roy Philipose Longer Term Outlook: 5 Year  ~ $381 Basis: The company will grow at least 26% per year for the next 5 years. Therefore, the security will be worth 3.1x more than the fair value price of $120 a share.  Fair Value:  $120 Fair value is the value based on growth prospects and the company going private. Comment: Roku is a major distribution hub for online TV content. Eventually, I see them developing their own content, which would make them even more valuable. --------------------- July 2, 2020 Roku ( ROKU ) is an Internet based TV platform featuring free and premium content. Roku has a mobile app and they are the standard OS on many new television sets. Roku generates revenue with partnerships and ads in-between shows. They have e

Tesla: Outperform @ $1000

Tesla Update: Live Blog ------------------ Oct 21, 2020 Current Rating: Buy Current Price: $422 12M Target Price: N/A  5Y Target Price: $1,165 Fair Value Price: $325  (Fair value is based on 7x 2021 Revenue of $35 Billion ($260 share value) plus 25% premium ($65 additional value) to take private) Revenue Estimate: $35 Billion for 2021  (Estimate is based on Auto sales of 700K x ASP of $50K) Outstanding Shares (Q3, 2020) : 937 Million Comment RE: Q3, 2020 The company released positive quarterly numbers and sales outlook. Topics discussed on the earnings call include: autonomy software feedback, autonomy being a major margin contributor in the future, improving product affordability, Megapack and solar being big next year, Tesla being a startup of startups, and Tesla's internal manufacturing expertise. 5 Year Target price of $1,165 is based on 35% compound growth rate. (Fair value of $260 a share x 4.48 multiplier) Based on the overall valuation and growth prospects, I have increase

Bitcoin: Outperform (Moderate Buy) @ $6,100

Live Blog August 21, 2020 Current Price: $11,600  Bitcoin has increased in price lately. I feel more people are moving toward the asset and feel comfortable owning it. Governments feel less threatened by the commodity and should continue to allow full ownership. I think really that is the key point - government doesn't want financial competition...so Bitcoin has a better chance of survival. Gold has come up in price too. The central banks of the world are engaged in massive money printing and stimulus in order to keep things afloat. This only makes the case for Bitcoin stronger. I see both Gold and Bitcoin in a coexisting relationship, with Bitcoin becoming the new Gold. Gold is not going anywhere and the price is not going to zero. Gold will still cary value, but Bitcoin has the advantage. The price of Gold doesn't have to come down in order for the price of Bitcoin to go up.  My outlook for Bitcoin hasn't changed. There is no reason Bitcoin can't be $100,000 or more i

Stock Ratings Update: Beyond Meat, Tesla, Roku

The stocks I like going forward are Tesla, Roku, and Beyond Meat. These growth companies are leaders in the field and continue to innovate. -Roy Philipose, Independent Stock Analyst Understanding Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings... 3/19/2020 Beyond Meat: Hold (Neutral) Current Price: $54 Target Price 12M: $65 Reason: Market Conditions 3/19/2020 Tesla: Hold (Neutral) Current Price: $372 Target Price 12M: $450 Reason: Market Conditions 3/18/2020 Roku: Outperform (Moderate Buy) Current Price: $69 Target Price 12M: $80 Reason: Market Conditions Disclosure: Long TSLA, ROKU, BYND Disclaimer: Investments may lose value

A/X Growth 2019: Update 4 - March 19, 2020

The stocks I like going forward are Tesla, Roku, and Beyond Meat. These growth companies are leaders in the field and continue to innovate. Understanding Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings... 1) Buy Recommendation: $82 11/6/2019 - Beyond Meat ( BYND ) is a plant-based manufacturer of meat products. They offer an alternative to traditional animal-based meats, while maintaining the look and taste. Beyond Meat is in a great position to capitalize on the shift from animal-based meat to plant-based meat products. There is  growing trend to go healthy and to focus on the environment. They have set up partnerships with fast food chains and are in supermarkets. Recently, the stock came down and I see that as a buying opportunity. 1a) 3-17-2020 Beyond Meat: Outperform (Moderate Buy) Current Price: $62 Target Price 12M: $80 Reason: Valuation 1b) 3-18-2020 Beyond Meat: Underperform (Moderate Sell) Current Price: $60 Target Price 12M: $60 Reason: Market Conditions 1c) 3-19-2020 Beyond M

A/X Portfolio 2018

By Roy Philipose Here is an updated list of 10 stocks that are part of the "A/X Portfolio." This portfolio should return at least 15% per year. The majority of these companies are led by their founder and have strong growth potential. Changes to A/X: I have replaced Under Armour (sports apparel) for Square (retail payments). There are more good stocks out there, but I don't have the time to research them all. I plan to add myself to TipRanks (stock pick ratings). My overall track record for picking stocks speaks for itself. 2017 S&P 500 + 18.74% 2017 A/X Portfolio + 156.38% For 2017, the big winner was Bitcoin and the big loser was Under Armour. A/X 2017 1.24.2017 1.26.2018 Annual Return Alibaba $101 $205 102.97% Alphabet $849 $1,187 39.81% Amazon $822 $1,402 70.56% Apple $120 $171 42.50% Bitcoin $887 $11,087 1149.94% Facebook $129 $190 47.29% Netflix $140 $274 95.71% Tesla $254 $342 34.65% Under Armour $25 $14 -44.00% Zillow Group $3

A/X Portfolio 2017

By Roy "Dr. P" Philipose Here is an updated list of 10 stocks that are part of the "A/X Portfolio." This portfolio should return at least 10% per year. The majority of these companies are led by their founder and have strong growth potential. I have removed companies that did not display strong fundamentals. I recommend Bitcoin for insurance against the US dollar. Personally, I like the GFAT (Google, Facebook, Amazon, Tesla) portfolio. Yahoo Finance Link - A/X Portfolio Apple, AAPL Amazon, AMZN Alibaba, BABA Alphabet, GOOGL Facebook, FB Netflix, NFLX Tesla, TSLA Under Armour, UAA Zillow Group, ZG Bitcoin, BTCUSD  Disclosure: Long Recommendation © Copyright 2017 Roy Philipose. All rights reserved.