Roku: Outperform @ $128

Roku Update: Live Blog

July 29, 2020
Market Price: $148 (July 28, 2020)

Personal Buy Rating:
-Buy Light (buy some) @ Market Price
-Buy Medium (buy more) @ 20% Discount
-Buy Heavy (buy many) @ 50% Discount

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July 14, 2020
Update:
By Roy Philipose

Longer Term Outlook:
5 Year  ~ $381
Basis: The company will grow at least 26% per year for the next 5 years. Therefore, the security will be worth 3.1x more than the fair value price of $120 a share. 

Fair Value:  $120
Fair value is the value based on growth prospects and the company going private.

Comment:
Roku is a major distribution hub for online TV content. Eventually, I see them developing their own content, which would make them even more valuable.

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July 2, 2020

Roku (ROKU) is an Internet based TV platform featuring free and premium content. Roku has a mobile app and they are the standard OS on many new television sets. Roku generates revenue with partnerships and ads in-between shows. They have established a TV guide on their channel and they continue to add new content. Roku is in a great position to capitalize in the shift from traditional TV advertising to Internet TV advertising. The company is growing and the outlook is strong. Anthony Wood is Roku's CEO. 

- Roy Philipose, Independent Analyst

Stock rating: 
Outperform (Buy)
- Exceed S&P 500 (benchmark) over next 12 months.

Roku: Outperform
Current Price: $128 (closing price, 7/1/2020)
Market Cap: $14B
Fair Value: $120
Target Price 12M: Unknown (short-term target prices are hard to predict)
Reason: Growth

Longer Term Outlook
10 Year Price Outlook: $1,200 by 2030
Basis: The company will grow at least 26% per year for the next 10 years. Therefore, the security will be worth 10x more than the fair value price. 

Company
Pros:
Emerging Brand
Good Content
International Growth
TV Set Standard
Break-even to Profitable Operations
Cons:
Competition (Netflix or Amazon may enter TV ads business)

Disclosure: Long Roku
Disclaimer: Investments may lose value

Copyright © Roy Philipose 2020. All rights reserved. 

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