Posts

Tesla: Outperform @ $1000

Tesla Update: Live Blog ------------------ Oct 21, 2020 Current Rating: Buy Current Price: $422 12M Target Price: N/A  5Y Target Price: $1,165 Fair Value Price: $325  (Fair value is based on 7x 2021 Revenue of $35 Billion ($260 share value) plus 25% premium ($65 additional value) to take private) Revenue Estimate: $35 Billion for 2021  (Estimate is based on Auto sales of 700K x ASP of $50K) Outstanding Shares (Q3, 2020) : 937 Million Comment RE: Q3, 2020 The company released positive quarterly numbers and sales outlook. Topics discussed on the earnings call include: autonomy software feedback, autonomy being a major margin contributor in the future, improving product affordability, Megapack and solar being big next year, Tesla being a startup of startups, and Tesla's internal manufacturing expertise. 5 Year Target price of $1,165 is based on 35% compound growth rate. (Fair value of $260 a share x 4.48 multiplier) Based on the overall valuation and growth prospects, I have increase

Bitcoin: Outperform (Moderate Buy) @ $6,100

Live Blog August 21, 2020 Current Price: $11,600  Bitcoin has increased in price lately. I feel more people are moving toward the asset and feel comfortable owning it. Governments feel less threatened by the commodity and should continue to allow full ownership. I think really that is the key point - government doesn't want financial competition...so Bitcoin has a better chance of survival. Gold has come up in price too. The central banks of the world are engaged in massive money printing and stimulus in order to keep things afloat. This only makes the case for Bitcoin stronger. I see both Gold and Bitcoin in a coexisting relationship, with Bitcoin becoming the new Gold. Gold is not going anywhere and the price is not going to zero. Gold will still cary value, but Bitcoin has the advantage. The price of Gold doesn't have to come down in order for the price of Bitcoin to go up.  My outlook for Bitcoin hasn't changed. There is no reason Bitcoin can't be $100,000 or more i